Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+128/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has totaled 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.9 more than he's totaled over the course of the year at home.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the league when playing at home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).

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