Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has put up 2.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 89th percentile.
The 10th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Ausar Thompson is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

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