Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has averaged 6.4 rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 89th percentile.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Pistons check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson stands to get a boost in efficiency for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.

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