Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has compiled 2.1 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 93rd percentile.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Ausar Thompson stands to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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