Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 6.9 rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
With the home court advantage, the Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.

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