Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 7.0 rebounds per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
The Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team has snagged 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the LA Clippers (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
Ausar Thompson will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production across the board.

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