Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has put up 2.1 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (losing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).
Ausar Thompson will likely see a rise in production in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Detroit Pistons.

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