Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 8:14 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-116).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.1 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson figures to see a spike in efficiency for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson lands in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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