Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has compiled 2.9 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's best in this category in recent days: 94th percentile.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
At home, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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