Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has compiled 3.1 offensive rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the most offensive boards per game (15.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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