Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 3.0 offensive boards per game while at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
The 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will likely see a spike in production in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Playing at home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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