Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has put up 3.6 offensive rebounds per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.8 fouls per game on the road this year.
Ausar Thompson figures to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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