Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 8.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Ausar Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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