Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has compiled 3.6 offensive boards per game while at home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The 9th-slowest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards (retaining possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

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