Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.7 offensive boards per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.9 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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