Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has posted 8.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's posted overall this season on the road.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

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