Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has totaled 8.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's totaled overall this year at home.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 6 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.5 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson ought to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from hom in this contest.

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