Ausar Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has compiled 4.1 offensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have collected 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.

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