Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 20, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) against the Warriors, designating this as a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank best in in the NBA with 14.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 11.0 sunk threes per game ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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