Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 1, 2026

Updated Mar 1, 2026 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+101/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.9 three-pointers per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 5.5 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Magic, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pistons.

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