Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 27, 2026

Updated Jan 28, 2026 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).

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