Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 25, 2026

Updated Jan 25, 2026 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, creating a good matchup.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA at home with 13.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings).

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