Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 21, 2026

Updated Jan 22, 2026 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team this year in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to get to the foul line.

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