Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Jan 5, 2026

Updated Jan 6, 2026 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-144/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against New York is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Knicks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the league this year (48.0%).
The Pistons have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Knicks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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