Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Jan 1, 2026

Updated Jan 2, 2026 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank best in in the NBA with 16.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-pointers, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 10.9 successful threes per game while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

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