Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 30, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-126/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Pistons.
The 7th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pistons.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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