Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 28, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 4:20 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.3 three attempts per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The 8th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank best in in the NBA with 15.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Pistons rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Clippers have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Clippers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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