Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 18, 2025

Updated Dec 19, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 2nd-best in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are on their home court (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for threes; when the Mavericks are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the league this year (0.8).

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