Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 29, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).
The Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 5th-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while on the road this year.

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