Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Nov 28, 2025

Updated Nov 29, 2025 4:09 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Orlando is a good one; when the Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (18.9).
The Pistons have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.7 free throws per game this year when the Magic are away from home (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Detroit Pistons.

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