Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 22, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
The Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Milwaukee may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are playing at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league while playing away from home this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

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