Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 1, 2025

Updated Nov 2, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 15.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point shots, the Pistons's feeble 12.3 made threes per game while playing at home measures as the 4th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (2nd-least in the league).

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