Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · May 1, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 47.0% clip, Ausar Thompson's scoring ability has risen this year to 53.9%.
The matchup against New York is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Knicks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (48.0%).
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Ausar Thompson has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson measures in the 20th percentile for 3-point shots made while at home, averaging 0.3 per game this year.
Ausar Thompson has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, struggling to draw fouls.

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