Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has attempted 10.8 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.8 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
The 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 3rd-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 15th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a lackluster 23.6% rate this year.
Ausar Thompson has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on shots from the field (weakest in the NBA) against the Knicks, making this a challenging matchup.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New York Knicks).

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