Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 5:11 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 54.2% of his shot attempts from the field with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ausar Thompson has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, creating a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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