Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 24, 2025

Updated Apr 24, 2025 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has attempted 10.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Ausar Thompson has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one for 3-pointers; when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the NBA this year (48.0%).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
In terms of treys, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 12.5 successful threes per game with the home court advantage rates 5th-fewest in the league this year.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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