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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 47.6% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 10.1% more than he's converted from three overall this season at home.

Ausar Thompson has tallied 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most field goals per game in the league this year (7.0).

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The Pistons have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Bucks).

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