Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Ausar Thompson has sunk 47.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season with the home court advantage.
Ausar Thompson has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one for threes; when the Knicks are on the road, opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (48.0%).
The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year as it relates to treys.
The Pistons will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo away team in the league this year (the Knicks).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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