Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has attempted 11.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Raptors).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson places in the 15th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a lackluster 23.3% rate this year.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
In terms of three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Ausar Thompson ought to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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