Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 58.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 19.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year playing at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 10th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 11.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Ausar Thompson has made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (96th percentile).
When it comes to treys, the Pistons's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game while on their home court measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have notched 13.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

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