Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 26, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 66.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 27.8% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year with the home court advantage.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to boost possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7th-best in in the NBA playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Ausar Thompson has successfully made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Pistons's lackluster 35.0% rate of successful threes while on their home court places 8th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 8.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Spurs, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The matchup vs. Devin Vassell is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when Vassell is playing on the road and guarding opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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