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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 64.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.8% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing on the road.

Ausar Thompson has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's made from three overall this season.

The Detroit Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, creating a good matchup.

The matchup with Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting SFs nailing a whopping 44.2% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Detroit Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 8thworst in in the league when playing away from home with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Ausar Thompson should experience a decrease in output across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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