Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 54.5% of his field goal attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ausar Thompson has sunk 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 39.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for overall this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a tough matchup.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been bad at getting to the free-throw line away from their home court: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 20.7 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Ausar Thompson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.