Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 61.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing at home.
The quickest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, creating a hard matchup.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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