Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Mar 11, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 10:28 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 62.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have put up 15.7 points per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.
The speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 6th-best in in the NBA at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 9th-most sluggish pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Washington Wizards).
Ausar Thompson has sunk 56.9% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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