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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 66.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Ausar Thompson has played 27.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played over the course of the year.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup.

The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 13th percentile for 3-point ability with a feeble 20.6% rate this year.

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

As a team, the Pistons have been poor at drawing fouls as the visting team: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 19.8 foul shots per game.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Ausar Thompson stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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