Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 65.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a strong one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (19.5).
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (94th percentile).
The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
Ausar Thompson has converted 55.2% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
As a team, the Pistons have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 8th-worst in the NBA this year with just 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.

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