Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 68.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
The Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 21.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ausar Thompson has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 23.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Bulls, labeling this as a hard matchup.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 18.7 free throw attempts per game.
Ausar Thompson ought to experience a decrease in performance across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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