Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 11, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has made 57.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 7.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season away from home.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 7th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Ausar Thompson has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 14th percentile for three-point efficiency with a feeble 21.9% rate this year.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (23.9%).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 19.0 foul shots per game when playing on the road rates worst in the league this year.
Ausar Thompson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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