Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 79th percentile for shooting ability when playing at home with a remarkable 52.0% rate this year.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest field goal rate in the league this year (55.3%).
The 4th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Hawks).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
Ausar Thompson has successfully made 55.6% of his free throw attempts this year, putting him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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